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Showing posts with label Changes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Changes. Show all posts

Thursday, March 24, 2011

A polite Dilemma Hangs Over The Us As favorite Uprisings Clamour for Regime Changes in Arab World

A wave of political revolutions engulf the Arab world like a tornado; and is set to spread, causing far- reaching consequences for western countries' foreign procedure -and especially relations with the Middle East.

A new political order

News From Bahrain

Is a new power structure inventing itself in the Arab world? Or is it the case that the unfolding events will bring about uncomfortable strange bed-fellows in international relations? whatever the case - we are de facto witnessing an irreparable and seismic shift in the international balance of power; a political dynamite for American foreign policy.

Tunisia set the tone and pace between December 2010 and January 2011. Then a 'whirlwind' hit Mubarak of Egypt from behind three weeks later, who then resigned on 11 February. In both cases old regimes were discarded to the dustbin, while citizen asserted their power.

Ben Ali, president for more than 23 years fled the country and took refuge in Saudi Arabia following allinclusive uncontained protests. Meanwhile Egypt's Mubarak is reported to have retreated to his house on the beach in Sharm El Sheikh after three decades in power.

The success of these protests; or de facto failure of some in the future are sure to originate a new dynamic in international relations and diplomacy.

Undoubtedly a new world political order has been unveiled with public movements sprouting everywhere; and unstoppable mass uprisings and protests against dictatorial regimes germinating everyday. It appears therefore that the Us diplomacy has been dumb-founded, or in some instances overtaken by these political tsunamis; exposing them to accusations of double standards, or instead that their polite machinery has been caught napping as they continue to air incoherent statements.

The Bahrain and Iran Scenario

While Americans may want to quote uprisings in Iran and Libya as belated - those of Bahrain are uncomfortably too ahead of schedule and may not be idle; just as those of Egypt compared to Tunisia.

Bahrain is a hot potato to deal with as it is the headquarters for the American navy expensed with securing the free flow of oil through the Gulf; and ensures Us soldiery might's proximity to keep Iran at bay.

The Bahrain regime cooperated with America on this arrangement for years, making them an invaluable partner. Iran with its 'nuclear ambitions', dictatorial regime and unrelenting sabres-rattling with the west - especially with America, has since been relegated to the league of rogue states.

The ideal scenario for the Americans therefore is for the Bahrain dictator to be left alone while they would wish Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be gone from sight.

'To be or not to be' that is the dilemma

American leadership seem to be stammering as they struggle to define democracy in the face of unalienable choices: whether to stick with a friendly dictator, or to invoke Thomas Jefferson's basic tenets of democracy and withhold the will of the people.

Thomas Jefferson in the wake of American Independence (1762 - 1826) declared democracy as: "Of the people, By the citizen and For the People."

He also said: "All men are created equal, that they are endowed by their creator with inevitable unalienable ownership that among these are Life, Liberty, and the chase of Happiness."

Based on the nemesis of a reliance in the dignity of all citizen regardless of their gender or colour, we need not therefore reinvent the belief of democracy - but help avoid its ambiguity. I guess we need to usher in the reawakening of its realisation around the world regardless of all our other interests - and this should go beyond the 'unpalatable' events unfolding in the Arab world.

A polite Dilemma Hangs Over The Us As favorite Uprisings Clamour for Regime Changes in Arab World

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Wednesday, March 23, 2011

Impacts of climate Changes on Water Resources in the Middle East

Projections of alterations in runoff and drinking water supply below atmosphere alter scenarios vary. From the past a single can identify that the current atmosphere in the Middle East isn't the worst, that with regard to the availability of water there could be a lot dryer hyper arid conditions, which can be associated with higher or even colder midpoint temperatures.

On the other hand a lot more wet conditions instantly improve the situation for all kind of lives. You will find all kind of transitions from minor to expansive growth of precipitation.Global warming is now ordinarily agreed to come to be obvious according towards the latest Ipcc assessment. The atmosphere is foreseen, to turn out to be hotter and drier in the Middle East, though there numerous differing assessments as to how much temperatures will rise and at what speed.

News From Bahrain

Higher temperatures and decreased precipitation will improve the occurrence of droughts. It is discovered that a reduce in rainfall coupled with an improve in ultimate climatic events because of to atmosphere convert is most likely to considerably decrease drinking water availability in the area, with damaging effects on food output and economies.

Particularly in rainfed locations agriculture yields are foreseen, to fluctuate a lot more widely, ultimately falling to some considerably lower long-term average. The same will happen with irrigated land, if the drinking water availability in favour of domestic use have to be decreased. Poor and vulnerable populations, which exist in expansive numbers throughout the area, will most likely face the many chance.

In urban areas on one hand it is to come to be foreseen, that just straight through the additional growing people the water question remain below supplemental stress. On another hand the expanding temperature is additional estimated to have an additional multiplying impact on drinking water consumption because of to heat effects and decreasing drinking water capability and worsening of urban air conditions.

These will cause elevated pressure on outside and groundwater resources, that are currently being extracted in most locations beyond sustainable recharge conditions. The competitive question and tensions between varied customer groups can lead to a water associated social or economical friction situation inside one country. In case of joint utilization of drinking water assets and drinking water agreements in between nations this could disturb the political relationships in between countries.

The Middle East is already an region of tension. Political tension, contracting drinking water supplies, could aggravate animosities in the region. Water is a scarce resource-and will continue to come to be so in the future. Global models predict sea amounts rising from about 0.1 to 0.9 meters by the year 2100. In the center East there are some nations with low-lying coastal areas, like Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Uae.

In Alexandria, Egypt, e.g. A 0.5 m sea degree rise would leave more than 2 million individuals displaced with an harm of a lot more than $ 30 billion on property and infrastructure. Water shortages
and expanding sea amounts could lead to mass migration. While the rising level of the open sea of the Mediterranean as nicely as within the Arabian Gulf due towards the melting ice within the polar area will turn out to be a risky occasion for the direct riparian, the reverse impact will trigger the issue at the Dead Sea as a finished terminal lake.

The foreseen, allowance of precipitation in the Middle East in association with the worldwide warming will provoke a additional depletion of the Dead Sea degree (Salameh & Naser 1999). During the last four decades, drinking water resources in the Dead Sea watershed have been intensively industrialized to meet the growing demands.

Increasing amounts of water were diverted from outside and groundwater sources within the watershed to meet domestic, agricultural, and market needs. Today, only a fraction from the flow from the water-rich areas reach the Dead Sea. The inflow can not balance the strong loss by evaporation. This ecological and hydrological mismatch will be boosted straight through the foreseen, climatic alterations.

Much from the strengthen so far achieved by countries within the region to tackle challenges of high unemployment and integration using the global cheaper could be jeopardized by environment alter. Income and employment may be lost as a follow of a lot more frequent droughts in rural locations, and to floods and sea surges in urban and coastal areas.

Alterations in temperature and precipitation patterns might follow in damage,to strategic economic sectors this kind of as tourism or others with growth possible,such as high-value-added agriculture. The composition of such impacts is most likely to slow down the reform process.

Impacts of climate Changes on Water Resources in the Middle East

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